Saturday’s prelude (qualifying) to the 2022 Dutch Grand Prix drew important distinction from the prior weekend at Spa in Belgium. As you’ll recall, Verstappen was a full 1.8 seconds away from Mercedes in qualifying. To place that in American sporting phrases, it’s like a soccer sport that ends at 50 to three—a whole blowout. And that’s simply the character of Purple Bull’s straight line pace. Fortuitously, the Circuit Zandvoort in Holland is a stark distinction, the place drivers not often even see eighth gear. As an alternative, it’s characterised by banked turns and a collection of technical corners, such that driver talent actually comes into play when vehicles are correctly setup with sufficient downforce. Tire degradation additionally seems to be a difficulty, which performs to Mercedes’ strengths.
What we witnessed all through the observe periods and qualifying was that the highest three groups—Purple Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes—every had good tempo and could be separated by mere lots of over the course of this brief F1 lap. The Ferrari confirmed it was the superior automobile by way of the way it dealt with Zandvoort, particularly difficult flip three with its awkward braking zone, steep banking on the apex and on the sting of observe limits after which an aggressive curb to keep away from on the exit. On this foundation, Leclerc ought to have secured pole place, however a mistake in sector two value him and Verstappen edged him by mere hundredths on what was additionally an imperfect lap.
The massive disappointment for the Mercedes group and followers alike was Checo’s spin and yellow flag in Q3, which negated the ultimate laps of fairly everybody save for Purple Bull and Ferrari. Nonetheless, this leaves every of the three aggressive groups beginning first via sixth. With Ferrari two and three, it might set them up for a sport of chess with Purple Bull, particularly if Leclerc will get a great begin and manages to overhaul Verstappen on the primary lap. If Ferrari drop the ball, which has been the pattern, then the door opens for Hamilton and presumably even Russell to come back via with podiums.
The grid shuffle for 2023 aka foolish season additionally made progress this week with McLaren confirming a two-year deal for Oscar Piastri to exchange outgoing Riccardo. This leaves three or 4 potential seats open. Alpine for certain, which appears to be a lock for Gasly, after which Williams (Latifi), Haas (Schumacher), and Gasly’s AlphaTauri seat are nonetheless up for grabs. Mercedes reserve driver, Dutchman Nyck de Vries, has the perfect shot at Williams given the group’s ties to (and reliance on) Mercedes and Toto Wolff. Although I’d choose to see Riccardo get that seat. I can’t recall when there have been so many seats open at this level within the season, so this horse buying and selling sport in F1 might be thrilling to look at over the approaching weeks.
As for race predictions, the sensible cash is definitely on Verstappen and Purple Bull. The X-factor is that Leclerc has a extremely aggressive machine and nothing to lose via turns one, two and three. He might depart Max no selection however to again out or crash. And if the 2021 season is any indication, “Mad Max” all the time opts for the crash. However now he has the title all-but locked up, and he’s seemingly matured as driver. Nonetheless, you must bear in mind the fable of the frog and the scorpion. On this case, each drivers are taken out, and the race opens as much as Sainz, Hamilton and Russell.
On that closing word, one large query is whether or not Russell could have the tempo to problem Hamilton and the way the group may react to that situation each by way of every driver’s technique and if group orders come into play. Based mostly on how he’s been driving recently, I don’t really feel Perez might be an element…a minimum of not a constructive one. Any manner you slice it, there’s greater than sufficient drama heading into the 2022 Dutch Grand Prix. Let’s hope a few of it truly performs out and we don’t simply see Verstappen win from pole whereas main each lap of the race.