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Sobering news amidst Russian problems with their battle plans

Avisionews by Avisionews
April 15, 2022
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cartoon about Russian brutalization of civilians
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The parable of Putin is punctured: “Simply 15 % of Individuals polled agreed Putin was “savvy,” 7 % known as him “rational” and 25 % known as him “strategic.” #Ukraine https://t.co/CcXLC3Z2PC

— David Beard (@dabeard) April 14, 2022

There’s an excellent deal to be taught from the in depth commentary you will discover on Twitter and elsewhere from professionals. It goes means past what you’ll learn in your native paper or see on cable, who repeatedly are likely to overestimate Russian competence and preparedness whilst they do a stellar job on the humanitarian disaster.

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There are 65 Russian BTG’s in all of Ukraine proper now targeted on south and east says sr. US protection official. Recall that Russia had amassed 130 BTG’s previous to invasion.

— luis martinez (@LMartinezABC) April 14, 2022

Alessio Patalano/Twitter:

So, what occurred, and why does it matter?

We all know from official sources that 2 Neptune missiles hit the ship and a significant hearth ensued. The ship was working extremely near shore, which is outstanding given the restricted level defence system it has.

 

This raises essential questions on acquainted themes on this invasion thus far:
a. Russian conops;
b. Russian confidence/underestimation of UKR;
c. Russian preparation and readiness.

This ship had no actual enterprise so near shore; it clearly underestimated op danger; 

Philips P O’Brien/Twitter:

This can be a useful listing to know what the US is sending to Ukraine, and what it signifies in regards to the state of the struggle and, crucially what we will anticipate from the Ukrainian armed forces going forwards.

First, US is unquestionably upgrading Ukrainian capabilities. The MI 17 helicopters are attention-grabbing. Multipurpose so can’t say positively what their use is. My greatest guess; to permit the Ukrainians to do extra SF [special forces] work behind Russian traces. 

Subsequent, an enormous stress on safety to minimise Ukrainian casualties. From physique armour to NBC safety to counter artillery techniques there may be stress on defending Ukrainians. Sensible; it’s extraordinarily essential to maintain Ukrainian casualties down. 

And, after all extra anti air, however you don’t want to listen to extra from me about that. 

So a transparent bundle to increase Ukrainian ranged assaults whereas defending Ukrainian forces. An indication of the place they assume the struggle goes. Ukraine can be anticipating to be extra offensive because the Russians bathroom down, however in being offensive they don’t need to endure excessive casualties.

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Kyiv sank ‘Moscow’ and the Russians are livid. In response to the sinking of the warship ‘Moskva,’ state TV pundits and hosts suggest bombing Kyiv, destroying Ukraine’s railways and making it inconceivable for any world leaders to go to sooner or later. pic.twitter.com/OekII2fbPe

— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) April 15, 2022

Ed Yong/Atlantic:

THE FINAL PANDEMIC BETRAYAL

Thousands and thousands of persons are nonetheless mourning family members misplaced to COVID, their grief intensified, extended, and even denied by the politics of the pandemic.

The quantity of people that have died of COVID-19 in the US has all the time been undercounted as a result of such counts depend on often-inaccurate loss of life certificates. However the complete, because the CDC and different official sources counsel, will quickly surpass 1 million. That quantity—the sum of one million particular person tragedies—is sort of too giant to understand, and just a few professions have borne visceral witness to the pandemic’s immense scale. Alanna Badgley has been an EMT since 2010, “and the variety of individuals I’ve pronounced useless within the final two years has eclipsed that of the primary 10,” she instructed me. Hari Shut, a funeral director in Baltimore, instructed me that he cared for households who “had been burying three or 4 individuals weeks aside.” Maureen O’Donnell, an obituary author on the Chicago Solar-Instances, instructed me that she normally writes “about individuals who had an attractive arc to their life,” however throughout the pandemic, she has found herself writing about lives that were “reduce brief, like timber being reduce down.” On common, every one that has died of COVID has finished so roughly a decade earlier than their time.

The fact of redeploying a defeated and exhausted military is now turning into obvious to those that talked in regards to the Russians redeploying their Kyiv forces to the Donbas. It’s now been a [week] since Russian forces had been nearly all out of Kyiv and Chernihiv.

The place are these forces now. Properly greatest intelligence has them on their means from their withdrawal factors to round Belgorod, in Russia, for relaxation and refit. Within the US DOD briefing two days in the past it was acknowledged that these forces had been nonetheless on their means.

And there are these persistent experiences that Russian forces are discovering methods to keep away from going again to Ukraine. 

Add this to the truth that these forces, if they are often rested refitted, will want a major interval to deploy into Ukraine, because the street system remains to be working towards them.

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Trump claimed to Hannity final night time in an interview, describing his conversations with Putin: “We talked about it rather a lot. He did need Ukraine, however I stated, you aren’t going into Ukraine. He would by no means ever have gone into Ukraine.”

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) April 14, 2022

Putin had annexed Crimea two years earlier than Trump’s election.

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Each single political reporter is aware of the man is off his rocker and unfit for workplace, and speaks frankly about this in non-public! Editors do not understand how they’re tanking their credibility by refusing to be clear about this.

— Christopher Ingraham (@_cingraham) April 14, 2022

Emmanuel Macron and Joe Biden Have Identical Drawback: Getting the Left to Vote

Voter disaffection may show essential within the French elections. Certainly, turnout amongst Mélenchon’s supporters may show decisive. If the suitable is mobilized and the left doesn’t present, an in depth race between Macron and Le Pen may tip in the favor of the right-wing leader. This echoes the priority of some Democratic Celebration leaders within the U.S. who, already dealing with the uphill battle that midterm elections normally characterize for the celebration of the incumbent president, are fearful that supporters annoyed that key platform priorities of the U.S. left haven’t handed may keep residence. Simply as Mélenchon supporters may give the suitable a stunning victory in the event that they keep residence, if core Democratic constituencies don’t prove in November the GOP may win again each the Senate and Home and maybe a really substantial majority within the Home.

Le Pen has dialed again her anti-immigrant, nationalist rhetoric and refocused on the financial problems with core curiosity to many French voters. She has additionally distanced herself from her earlier embrace of Vladimir Putin, going thus far within the wake of the invasion of Ukraine as to destroy a million pieces of campaign material that featured a picture of her and the Russian leader. In American phrases, she has Youngkinized herself.

In the meantime, Macron has reached out to win the endorsement of left-wing leaders. He has additionally stepped away from a proposal to lift the retirement age that was very unpopular on the left. And he has stepped up criticism of Le Pen as a menace to Europe in a time of disaster, given her historic Euroscepticism, closeness to Putin and proposals to tug France out of NATO’s command construction.

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Now this can be a statue:
In 1985 Danuta Danielsson was on the streets of her city in Sweden when a Neo-Nazi march went previous.
Ms. Danielson’s mom had been at Auschwitz and she or he waded into the fascists and hit the Nazi along with her purse. pic.twitter.com/eTy1RYuDpu

— Charlie Angus (@CharlieAngusNDP) April 13, 2022

Kaleigh Rogers/FiveThirtyeight:

Why So Many Conservatives Are Speaking About ‘Grooming’ All Of A Sudden

For the unfamiliar, “grooming” is a time period sometimes reserved to explain the kind of conduct that baby sexual abusers use to coerce potential victims without being caught. However now some Republicans are utilizing it towards any Democrat (or company)1 who disagrees with them on sure coverage points. This can be a deliberate tactic that was promoted as early as last summer by Christopher Rufo, the identical conservative activist who helped muddle the language round essential race idea. “Grooming” is a time period that neatly attracts collectively each trendy conspiracy theories and previous homophobic stereotypes, whereas comfortably shielding itself beneath the guise of defending kids. Who, in any case, can argue towards the protection of children? However by adopting this language to bolster their newest political pursuits, the suitable is each giving a nod to fringe conspiracy theorists and utilizing an age-old tactic to dismantle LGBTQ rights.

“There is no such thing as a higher ethical panic than an ethical panic centered on potential hurt to kids,” stated Emily Johnson, a historical past professor at Ball State College who makes a speciality of U.S. histories of gender and sexuality.

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Nobody who left Syria after the civil struggle began in 2011 and got here to America has dedicated a terrorist assault, regardless of the baseless fearmongering. Actually zero. However one did catch a mass shooter. https://t.co/RYqIo0Ugun

— Nicholas Grossman (@NGrossman81) April 14, 2022

From Trump 2020 to ‘Do not Say Homosexual,’ GOP management wastes tens of millions of taxpayer {dollars}

Tax cash goes down the drain when Republicans wage unwinnable wars on the Structure, the rule of the regulation and their fellow human beings.

On high of all that, Republicans have triggered an investigation that is “among the many most wide-ranging and most complex” ever undertaken by the Justice Division, in response to Deputy Lawyer Basic Lisa Monaco. That might be the investigation into Trump supporters’ lethal assault on Jan. 6, 2021, on the U.S. Capitol, the primary time in American historical past that presidential energy was transferred violently as a substitute of peacefully.
Sedition, conspiracy, incitement – these echoes of the colonies pre-Revolution are taking place proper now and consuming up assets at almost each U.S. lawyer’s workplace and discipline workplace within the nation, Monaco says. Congress has dedicated almost $1 billion for repairs, the Nationwide Guard, the Capitol Police and upgraded Capitol safety. That is about half the $1.9 billion sought final Could based mostly on a overview of safety wants.



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